Isaac
Years ago
Funny Hollinger's New Draft Ranking System
Found this very interesting. ESPN's John Hollinger has devised a method of predicting the best picks for future NBA success based on college performance.
...this system clearly holds up. Take that 2002 draft, for example. The best collegian from that draft is Utah Jazz forward Carlos Boozer, who was taken with the 35th overall pick by Cleveland -- after Dajuan Wagner, Jeffries, Ely, Haislip, Ryan Humphrey, Kareem Rush, Casey Jacobsen, Frank Williams, John Salmons, Chris Jefferies, Dan Dickau, Roger Mason, Robert Archibald and Vincent Yarbrough were off the board.
My formula has Boozer 34 spots higher -- at the top of the draft. In fact, he's one of the five best college prospects to come out in the last half decade, according to the system.
Evaluating collegians in the draft
What does his system say about the 2007 draft?
Durant by miles, then Oden, then Conley Jr.
Kevin Durant is the best talent to come out of the college ranks in the last half decade. As we've learned, this doesn't necessarily mean he'll become the best player. But his 870.7 score blows the previous best -- Carmelo Anthony's 781.3 in 2003 -- right out of the water. If there's one thing that makes me reconsider the Oden versus Durant question after I thought it had been settled, this is it. I mean, how can you pass on this guy when his numbers are this overwhelming?
He has details on what influences his system, what red flags drag down a player, and includes the picks for recent years based on the system.
Definitely worth a read.
