Peter
Years ago
Will 36ers' win-loss be enough for play-offs?
Okay, someone asked for a new thread, so here goes.
We're half way through the season and the 36ers are 6-9. At the moment, it looks like 14-16 will probably be good enough to make the play offs. I'm assuming the Spirit stay in and their games all count.
36ers have games against the following teams:
Breakers - 1
Dragons - 1
Tigers - 2
Wildcats - 2
Crocs - 2 (wish they were still called the Suns)
Taipans - 2
Hawks - 2
Blaze - 3
I think they will improve further as the players who hadn't played with Hodge before get used to him (that's most of the rest of the team) and he gets used to what the coaches (who haven't worked with him before) want.
Given that, I think they will win 2 of the games against top 4 teams (1 Wildcats and 1 Tigers). They should win all 3 against the Blaze but I think they'll drop 1 each against Crocs and Taipans (both hard at home, 36ers' nemesis teams and JR seems to have come to the party). Not sure about the Hawks - should win both but I worry about the road game.
That outcome would leave them at 15-15 and in 5th place, maybe 6th. To do better than that, I believe the defence has to improve markedly. Otherwise they won't beat full strength Breakers and Dragons and will lose some close ones against teams like the Hawks and the Blaze. With significant defensive improvement, they will pick up extra wins against Wildcats and
What do others think?
