2015/2016 36ers Roster - how good will it be?
After reading many predictions of the NBL season ranking the 36ers quite low often 6th or 7th i thought it would be good to have a look at how good they are likely to be.
To do this i thought id see how they stack up to the 2014 team in Joeys 1st year at the club which made the Grand Final.
Ebi Ere is the 2nd import, which is to be confirmed, but many seem to think it is him, everytime Boty mentioned 196cm scoring swingman, knowing Joey has history with him he was my best guess. I predict even though he most likely wont be a star, he should be still pretty good average something along the lines of 15pts 3 ast 3 rbds with a few big games along the way.
Kenyon McNeail will average something along the lines of his college stats of 11pts, 2 ast, 2 rbds shooting 40% from the 3pt line and be at the very least an above average 3 pt shooter and will have a couple of big scoring nights along the way, with Gibbo doing alot of the play making. Guys who are quick and have a good 3pt shot are usually atleast decent in the NBL, at 6'1 he isnt tiny either, im guessing he will have a similar impact to Corin Henry who played for the Kings and had a similarish CV prior to coming to the NBL.
Some may say that doesnt stack up well with many of the other import combos around the league, which you may be right, but many havnt played in the NBL before and not all of the other fresh face imports will be studs even if they have a more impressive resume.
Also remember very few teams have a aussie core as good as DJ, Gibbo, Petrie, Creek, Teys, Walker, all bar Walker have been at the club atleast since Joey arrived, most a year or 2 more. We therefore have less to spend on the imports which is why we dont have the stud signed, like the last couple of years, where we only had 1 good import on the team.
So lets look at how the roster stacks up
2016 - 2014
Hodgson BJ Anthony
To me Johnson and Petrie is still one of the better PF/C combos in the NBL and have played a fair bit together which helps, Walker should be atleast of a similar level to Schenscher id expect him to be sligtly better due to Joey liking a fast paced game which Walker is better suited to and Walker is also slightly younger, so id call that a minor upgrade at best but should be atleast a break even move. Hodgson for Anthony is probably a minor downgrade, having never seen Hodgson play, but BJ at this stage in the career was more proven than Hodgson is, but given this is a 9th/10th spot on the roster not a huge deal imo. So overall id say its a slight downgrade, but not massive as its only the 9th/10th spot on the roster.
2016 - 2014
Ere Fry (replaced by Rhys Carter)
To me this is an upgrade as i think Ere (or whoever the 2nd import is) will be alot better shooting/scoring wise than Frye and if anything Creek has improved.
To me this is a downgrade, unless McNeaill is as good as Ervin, which would be very tough for him but not impossible either. Sobey for Cadee is also a down grade, but not a massive deal as it will also be a 9th/10th man spot, not massive minutes, i imagine we will be mostly using a 8 man roster.
So for me unless the imports do better than i predict we have taken a step backwards from 2014, but not a huge one, basically our swingmen rotation should be stronger, but less depth in guards and bigs, but having said that our 8 man rotation is still very good, how many teams have 6 Aussies better than Gibson, Teys, Creek, Petrie, Walker, Johnson? all of whom have started on playoff teams in the last 2 years. I still expect us to be in the mix for the playoffs, my guess would be 4th or 5th.