Paul- I made it clear at the time that my daylight comment was under the assumption of a full Kings team.
I never said it was Illawarra and then daylight. After Illawarra's first 7 games, I predicted they definitely wouldn't make the top 4 due to their defensive woes. That was after picking them for 4th spot in my pre season predictions, so it's good to see them now looking like a group that will fulfil my original prediction. I bet on Illawarra to make the 4, then cashed it out for a good profit after 2 or 3 rounds of the season.
I never said Adelaide were clearly the worst defensive team, I said they were the easily the worst defensive team to date in terms of Opposition ppg. (Which is still the case, hence history suggests they won't be champs despite their current 7 game streak and Team to beat status. I was making a comment based on that history, so I'm happy to stay with my comments there). I actually predicted Adelaide for last in my pre season picks, made multiple different bets on the same, and then cashed out my bet for some handy profits at their lowest point before they started winning.
Many of my predictions have actually been pretty good considered in their totality. But it's early days. I'm enjoying this season immensely, it's a shame that the busyness of life has prevented me from following as closely in the past few weeks as I was over the first couple of months.