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skip
Earlier this year

#40644

NBL Betting Odds

Anyone see any decent value in any markets currently.

NBL Betting Markets (Sportsbet Odds)

MVP
Randle $2.20
Prather $2.88
Ware $13
Lisch $13
Clarke $15
Craig $15
Newley $21
Goulding $21
Penney $23
Gliddon $34
Johnson $34

Champions
Adelaide $3.60
Perth $4
Illawarra $5.50
Melbourne $6
Sydney $7.50
Brisbane $15
Cairns $21
NZ $23

Top 4
Adelaide $1.05
Perth $1.15
Illawarra $1.20
Melbourne $1.50
Sydney $1.75
Brisbane $5
Cairns $5
NZ $10

Minor Premier
Adelaide $1.44
Perth $5
Illawarra $6.50
Melbourne $8
Sydney $13
Brisbane $18
Cairns $34
NZ $51

The Grand Final Teams
Adelaide/Illawarra $6.00
Perth/Adelaide $6.00
Illawarra/Melbourne $8.00
Perth/Illawarra $8.00
Melbourne/Adelaide $9.00
Melbourne/Perth $9.50
Sydney/Adelaide $9.50

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Isaac
Earlier this year
14:30 10 Jan 17

Reply #617643

re: NBL Betting Odds

Clarke at $15? Took him a while to get rolling, but since then he's been fairly consistent and no other Hawk would have polled that strongly. Harris fell away and Ogilvy is having a bit of a down year.

Sobey and DJ have had good games, but Randle is an obvious favourite.

I got the Cats at $10 for the championship.


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Bill on the ball
Earlier this year
15:04 10 Jan 17

Reply #617658

re: NBL Betting Odds

Perth Adelaide gf at $6 great value?


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
15:37 10 Jan 17

Reply #617665

re: NBL Betting Odds

If the NBL granted Rotnei Clarke MVP when the league had James Ennis, then Prather should be the MVP having to carry the sh1thouse pre-3 game winning streak Wildcats this far.


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Camel 31
Earlier this year
16:15 10 Jan 17

Reply #617675

re: NBL Betting Odds

on the radio , last nite , the commentator said he backed 36ers to beat nz by more than 10points , on sunday and that paid eight dollars.... sounded pretty good..


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skip
Earlier this year
16:18 10 Jan 17

Reply #617676

re: NBL Betting Odds

It's a shame you can't multi some of these bets together.

36ers to be Minor Premiers - $1.44
into
Randle - MVP - $1.67
into
36ers to win the Championship - $3.60
into
Perth to be Runner Up - $4.33

is then paying $37.48!

I like those odds!! ( I would also love that result!!)




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Anonymous
Earlier this year
16:33 10 Jan 17

Reply #617680

re: NBL Betting Odds

Gee whiz perth have shortened a lot over the past few days. Guess the bookies like what they see in cotton


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
17:22 10 Jan 17

Reply #617696

re: NBL Betting Odds

Put $100 on the cats winning the ship last week when they were paying $9


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Ingles13
Earlier this year
18:03 10 Jan 17

Reply #617706

re: NBL Betting Odds

yep got $80 when they were 9.50. Down to $4 and can cash out and profit decently from it


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
18:22 10 Jan 17

Reply #617714

re: NBL Betting Odds

Whats the cash out rate at the moment?


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Ingles13
Earlier this year
18:30 10 Jan 17

Reply #617715

re: NBL Betting Odds

$20 cashes out to $41.08, I put 4 separate $20 bets on perth at the same time to potentially stagger cash outs.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
18:39 10 Jan 17

Reply #617717

re: NBL Betting Odds

Ahh good idea.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
18:56 10 Jan 17

Reply #617725

re: NBL Betting Odds

I put $150 on last night at $9, cash out is now $245 ($95 profit). Will probably just let it ride and hope they at least make the finals and maybe hedge a little then or keep it going depending on how they look.


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skull
Earlier this year
19:19 10 Jan 17

Reply #617727

re: NBL Betting Odds

All this betting bullshit has opened the door for corruption in sport.


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Luuuc
Earlier this year
19:52 10 Jan 17

Reply #617730

re: NBL Betting Odds

Sad but true, yes.
Anywhere there's money, there will be a few people trying to cheat their way into a share of it.


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Dazz
Earlier this year
20:49 10 Jan 17

Reply #617735

re: NBL Betting Odds

Yep.
It would be fine if they just stuck to win/lose. But all the "line" betting, points spread, and novelty betting just opens the door.

I don't know what the turnover is in NBL betting, but a dodgy owner/coach could make a relatively large amount of money in the betting market, and offset a decent chunk of their budget.

Plus I think basketball lends itself to that kind of exploitation. If your team is a clear favourite, put money on to win, but by less than X. If it looks like you're going to exceed that, put the bench and DPs on in the final minutes. Most sports don't lend themselves to that kind of micro-manipulation.

There's also the unpleasant fact, that the gambling industry doesn't make a cent off the majority who just flutter a few bucks a week for a bit of fun. Specially when they'll give you $50 just to sign up. It is the problem gamblers who collectively lose billions, and in the process destroy their lives and those around them.

Nothing against those of you who have a flutter, but the INDUSTRY is parasitically evil to its core.


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skull
Earlier this year
21:55 10 Jan 17

Reply #617744

re: NBL Betting Odds

Nothing against those of you who have a flutter, but the INDUSTRY is parasitically evil to its core.

Yep, this shit never ends well.

If you want to gamble go to the casinos or pokie venues....leave sport out of it !!


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ROFLcopter
Earlier this year
00:31 11 Jan 17

Reply #617763

re: NBL Betting Odds

+1

It annoys me that so much bet speak is spoken of on this forum. It is free advertising for the bastards.

I hate gambling. I've seen lives ruined from addiction.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
01:38 11 Jan 17

Reply #617765

re: NBL Betting Odds

I think the casinos and pokies are the worst, since 'the house always wins' and has the edge, you don't have any hope of winning long term. Sports are the only thing I bet on. Sports they don't necessarily have a house edge over you and if you're smart and good, you can make a profit.


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Luuuc
Earlier this year
02:08 11 Jan 17

Reply #617766

re: NBL Betting Odds

I will regularly throw a few dollars on a game as well. I enjoy the challenge of it so I'm not going to trash the concept outright.
I consider it to be slightly less evil than the pokies for example, but it still obviously has its victims and that's a shame.
I enjoy the occasional drink too but alcohol can and does do a lot of harm when used irresponsibly... there are a lot of things out there where it's a grey area between looking after people and being total fun police.


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Dazz
Earlier this year
03:53 11 Jan 17

Reply #617769

re: NBL Betting Odds

Casinos and pokies are slightly more evil, only because they promise so much. Nobody doubts that these online agencies are nothing but scum out to rob vulnerable people.
But Casinos and pokies are always promoted on the false basis of jobs, tourism, and revenue.
Crown casino runs a program for bored oldies, whereby for a token amount you get a bus sent to collect you, a nice meal with a bevy, and $20 worth of chips. Obviously most people enjoy the trip out, the nice lunch, play the $20, and go home. And the Casino loses money on every one of them. But every so often, they create an addict. Someone who will lose the $20, follow that with $20 of their own, then come back next week and lose $50, then the day after and lose $100. It is utterly despicable.

In my previous career, as an auditor and forensic accountant, I had to uncover and investigate several cases of embezzlement. The problem every time was gambling.

And here's the really sick part.
These people are not just "problem gamblers," nor do they have a sickness, disease, nor even an addiction in the strictest sense. What they have is a mental defect. Something not quite wired right. They can justify anything, because they believe they are going to win it all back.
I don't know the numbers, maybe one in a thousand have this problem, maybe its one in 10k, or 100k. But the whole gambling industry is there to identify and exploit those people.

It's like saying that mugging people is ok, because I ask nicely first, and only beat up those who are most vulnerable.


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Isaac
Earlier this year
09:01 11 Jan 17

Reply #617780

re: NBL Betting Odds

For me, there is a significant difference between something like pokies (brainless) and betting on sport, especially where you feel you have some advantage (forum info about injuries, etc). I put money into an account 3-4 years ago and haven't had to re-add to it. I've tripled it in that time, mostly making little bets here and there. I'd have done better if it weren't for too many jinx bets. I also often go weeks or more without betting, and the stake at hand is something I can afford to lose.

But yes, for the wrong sorts of people, it can be a significant risk.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
10:02 11 Jan 17

Reply #617785

re: NBL Betting Odds

They should also stop selling hammers at Bunnings. They can be really dangerous if people hit themselves in the head with them.

2016 - In NSW, punter losses hit $8.9 billion, with $5.7 billion lost on the pokies

sports betting - $162 million

$162 million is still a lot although its clear what the real cancer in society is.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
10:11 11 Jan 17

Reply #617787

re: NBL Betting Odds

"I don't know the numbers, maybe one in a thousand have this problem, maybe its one in 10k, or 100k."

In a lengthy post about gambling, I LOL'ed at this comment.


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LV
Earlier this year
10:17 11 Jan 17

Reply #617791

re: NBL Betting Odds

Totally agree, Isaac. Pokies is mindless, it's a game of chance where the odds are against you. Highly addictive by nature too.

The odds are against you with sports betting too. But it's something totally different: attempting to use your reasoning to work out the outcomes of athletic contests between humans that are being played out in front of your eyes (or Screen). Pokies is gambling on which row of logos will magically appear on a screen, as you continually press a lever or button, staring at the screen and literally using less intelligence than a magpie living in the trees in your backyard.

Some good rules to follow when betting:

- Bet only on what you have some knowledge of (or think you do, anyway): For me that's primarily NBL and AFL. I avoid BBL and NBA (2 other leagues I follow) for various reasons.

- Only bet what you're willing to lose.

- Don't chase losses or get too greedy. Never think that you're a star and you'll win some more just because you made a smart/lucky bet the last time. Be content with winning a bit, or losing whatever you decided that you were willing to lose.

- Let the bets choose you, rather than choosing the bets. Don't go actively searching for a bet to put on. "Oh, I haven't put a bet on this week! Better find out..". Bad attitude. Scroll through every now and then, and only bet if something jumps out at you as ridiculously good value.

- If it's fun, and it adds to your sport watching experience then go for it. If it's no longer fun, or if you find it a bit stressful then it's time to call it over. If you find yourself thinking things like "Oh Sh!t!!! 36ers better win this one, otherwise I'm down by heaps....COME ON. BLOODY REFS WHAT IS THAT CALL!!!" then take a deep breath and resolve to stop betting for a while.


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overloaded
Earlier this year
10:23 11 Jan 17

Reply #617793

re: NBL Betting Odds

Ive backed daylight to run second. Got a good tip for it earlier in the season


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LV
Earlier this year
10:27 11 Jan 17

Reply #617795

re: NBL Betting Odds

Well, luckily all those bets I put on the Kings at $4, I subsequently cashed out when they were $2.70

;-)


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LV
Earlier this year
10:42 11 Jan 17

Reply #617797

re: NBL Betting Odds

In terms of this thread's odds, nothing really jumps out at me but the following I would suggest are good value:

The best value would be Clarke at $15 for MVP:

- He hasn't missed many (any?) games, unlike Ware, Goulding and Newley who is about to.

- Has been Illawarra's best player, and they're 11-10 with 5 home left, likely top 2 team or at least top 4.

Perth at $4 and Utd at $6. And the quinella. I'll back both of them to make the GF, I expect both will beat Adelaide or Ill in the semis, even without home court advantage. If they're both healthy.


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LV
Earlier this year
10:45 11 Jan 17

Reply #617799

re: NBL Betting Odds

The other thing in Clarkes favour is that he's an ex MVP. Wouldn't be the first time he pipped the expected winner in a boilover!


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
11:27 11 Jan 17

Reply #617805

re: NBL Betting Odds

United are not beating the 6ERS with Adelaide having HCA. Perth are an different animal. They are now just starting to get hot and as a 6ers fan I would hate to run into them.


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Luuuc
Earlier this year
11:35 11 Jan 17

Reply #617806

re: NBL Betting Odds

Run into us and we'll dive out of the way. You'll barely feel it I promise.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
14:46 11 Jan 17

Reply #617825

re: NBL Betting Odds

"I've seen lives ruined from addiction"

Those who ruin their lives through gambling addiction are the TRUE flogs ROFLCopter...just for the record.

If you can't keep your shit together at a machine with flashing lights, thats on you.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
15:36 11 Jan 17

Reply #617837

re: NBL Betting Odds

"I put money into an account 3-4 years ago and haven't had to re-add to it. I've tripled it in that time, mostly making little bets here and there. I'd have done better if it weren't for too many jinx bets. I also often go weeks or more without betting, and the stake at hand is something I can afford to lose."

Some sound comments here, but what is a jinx bet?


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leungtl
Earlier this year
16:02 11 Jan 17

Reply #617844

re: NBL Betting Odds

"what is a jinx bet?"

Putting money on your opponents so if your team loses, it's not a total disappointment...


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skull
Earlier this year
19:04 11 Jan 17

Reply #617877

re: NBL Betting Odds

I don't have a problem with the general punter at all, in fact it sounds like fun!

The problem I have with sports betting is the pressure that is put on (mainly young athletes) to cross the line...


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Bill on the ball
Earlier this year
19:13 11 Jan 17

Reply #617880

re: NBL Betting Odds

At $1.70, you collect against Adelaide this week. Adelaide will be stretched to the limit by Melbourne and the travel to face Perth...You have seen how fatique Perth was against Brisbane in their second game.


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Anonymous
Earlier this year
19:04 12 Jan 17

Reply #617982

re: NBL Betting Odds

Wildcats $1.82 to beat Cairns seems decent.

Will need to travel after a tough game against Adelaide, but Cairns will also be coming off a game against United this round. Cairns vs NZ was super ugly to watch the other day, Wildcats will get better with each game as the new line up gels together.


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