Two months ago
The FINAL Round
The final round is just epic, because practically every game will have some bearing on the final table.
What's more, there’s nothing simple. One game can change a lot of things.
As just one example, Sydney look out of it, but if they can beat Perth, 14 wins will rocket them to the head of a likely mini-table,
Plus they already have won the splits against Cairns, Hawks, NZ, and can take the Perth spilt with a 9 point victory.
CAIRNS v ADELAIDE x 2
Adelaide have nothing to play for, except maybe messing with other teams.
Cairns need to win both to be certain of a spot. It would give them 15 wins and 2nd spot with the split over the Hawks.
One win would see them on 14 points, and possibly still get them in via a mini-table.
NZ v MU
This is a DO or DIE game for BOTH teams.
NZ MUST win to finish on 14 and force their way into a mini-table or split. They still won’t know for sure, but if they lose, its season over.
MU MUST also win. They need to win both games to finish on 15 and guarantee a spot. I4 wins will not do it for them.
This game also has a HUGE potential impact on other teams.
PERTH v SYDNEY
Another DO or DIE clash.
Sydney must win to finish on 14. They will then be well placed in the resulting mini-table.
Perth must also win. They need to win both games to guarantee a spot. Moreover, beating Sydney pushes them out of any mini-table scenario.
If these two games go the way I think, it COULD see the final 4 decided. The likely outcome being a 14 win mini-table, and barring any blow outs, Perth to get through on %
HAWKS v BRISBANE
This should be a forgone conclusion. Hawks playing for their lives, Brissy just wanting it to be over.
Hawks to finish on 15 wins, guaranteeing a finals spot. (But could be anywhere from 2nd to 4th, depending on Cairns and Perth.)
MU v PERTH.
I’m hoping that by this point, the 4 is set. MU have no chance, and Perth just need to keep it respectable to avoid dropping below NZ in a mini-table.
But if things go wrong, it could get messy, and we could be waiting on this result to finalize the 4.