There are other COVID flow-on effects too
Social events. It's wedding season already, but there’s catch up weddings.
Birthdays, everyone who missed out last year wants a big party this year. Shindigs are happening everywhere, plus there’s the usual back again like kids sport. People have never been busier.
Some people are less inclined towards a busy lifestyle after taking time out to refresh and rejig their lives last year, not wanting to return to the previous hectic pace.
Then there’s sickness. Respiratory illnesses are going around (Rhinovirus, RSV), the RCH is full of kids with RSV. Immunity is down after 12 months of isolation, winter viruses are hitting in Feb/March at unusually high levels.
And unlike pre-covid, people are staying home when they’re unwell.
But fundamentally the main problem is over saturation right now. It’s like the BBL, went from 8, to 10, to 14 games. Crowds dropped. Too much. Run the NBL cup, great, but how many NBL games in Melbourne over the past month, and the next week you hold more? Can’t expect crowds there. Regardless whether people have paid their memberships already.