On paper we really should have a better team this year than we did in Tokyo.
Tokyo team:
Aron Baynes, Matthew Dellavedova, Dante Exum, Christopher Goulding, Joshua Green, Joe Ingles, Nick Kay, Jock Landale, Patrick Mills, Duop Reath, Nathan Sobey, Matisse Thybulle
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We only had Aron Baynes for 2 games
Matthew Dellavedova is better now than he was then, otherwise we're replacing him for Giddey - arguably an upgrade
Exum is in better form
Green is more ready
Joe Ingles probably about the same
Nick Kay likely to be replaced by Cooks, White or Magnay - an upgrade Id argue
Patty Mills has declined but it remains to be seen how much
Duop Reath has improved massively
Landale has improved
Sobey will be upgraded by Daniels, McVeigh or a range of other players
Mattisse is Mattisse
Id be surprised if Goulding made the team
The only factors that should make us any more concerned about this team than that one is a) playstyle/how the team is run and b) the competition.
There's no secret that USA, France and Canada look, on paper, a cut above everyone. But in basketball anything can happen. Then there's a logjam of teams from about 3-8th that can all beat eachother on their day and that's kind of where we look to fall.
Of course last year France completely capitulated and having all stars across your team doesn't guarantee anyone success.
But for me, Josh Giddey running the team is a question mark. If we want to medal or be in that conversation this year we need him to play a secondary role or even take on more of a scorers role. He can't run a team.
We also need to be concerned with our interiror defense. Size is still a question mark and I think we're going to need twin towers at times to combat not only tall teams, but teams with superstars who can get in the paint and draw fouls. Magnay probably should be selected and we probably should go three bigs.
Either way the mood around the Boomers has changed a lot since 2021. I think we're all a lot more grounded in our projections for them than we had been for a decade before then. I don't see us as being completely out of medal contention but I think we may have more of a shot leaning back into Patty than trying to rebuild the wheel with Giddey