Jacket
Two years ago

Wild results and "upsets"

The reason why we are seeing so many "wacky" results is simply down to one factor, and that is the 3 point shot.
There has been an absolute explosion of 3 point shots this season, no doubt driven by the analytics revolution which has truly made its way here in Aus.

With the 3 point shot there is an element of "luck" involved in them. Yes, there is great skill involved, but much more variance compared to closer shots around the rim.

When it is a teams night from 3 like with the JJs tonight, there is absolutely nothing the opposition can do.

The JJs can easily have a night where they go 4 from 27 from 3 and all of a sudden look like the worst team in the comp.

The problem is, when teams adopt this approach, they have very else to go back when it does not come off.

Teams are trying to copy the Warriors, especially in the NBA. The only problem is, the Warriors back court are the best shooting back court in NBA history and far more consistent than any other player(s). That is the key, CONSISTENCY.
Yes, teams will have great shooting nights and will look like Curry and Klay, but having such nights more consistency is another matter all together. That is what separates Klay and Curry from everyone else.
That is why they are the most dominant team since teams started playing like this over the past 7-8 years. They have only failed when they have experienced injuries. When fully healthy, they are head and shoulders above everyone else.

There is no such team in the NBL, where they have such great shooters that are CONSISTENTLY great from 3.
You will continue to see wild results and "upsets" in the NBL because the new philosophy adopted by teams is a great leveller.
This is the most open the league has ever been and on any given night it is a crap shoot because of the focus on 3 point shooting.

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Perthworld  
Two years ago

Okay.

Anything else?

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Manu Fieldel  
Two years ago

Jackies played very well tonight. Their defence suffocating, and great ball movement to get their offence going. Won the glass and kept their turnovers down too

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Jacket  
Two years ago

Manu, it is a double edged sword.

When your 3s DO NOT fall, the opposition gets long rebounds and are able to run which puts significant stress on your defense.
When the opposition is taking the ball after a make, the defense has time to set.

This is why the Warriors have always been one of the best defensive teams. They execute 3s so well, it gives them time to set there D where as other teams who are also jacking up so many 3s yet miss more consistently give up a long rebounds and there D is under significant stress.

Lets see the JJs D when they g0 5-30 from 3 next time.

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JoelMVP  
Two years ago

I recommend not engaging with this poster.

Reply #902248 | Report this post


twenty four  
Two years ago

Didn't you post a thread about this a couple of weeks ago?

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AngusH  
Two years ago

Glad you found some time to post this during the T20 Cricket, I was worried we might have to go an hour without hearing from the NBLs biggest hater who apparently still watches every game.

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Longshot  
Two years ago

I lose brain cells every time I read a post from Jacket

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Dave Q  
Two years ago

Couple of years ago the Cats put 70-odd on the Kings in a half via BC and some friggin' awesome shooting. It happens.

Shooters gonna shoot.

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LLKK  
Two years ago

Jacket yells at clouds again.

This sounds like Kevin Bartlett complaining that footy should still be 'one out' in forward square.

Try playing that method against modern methods and best of luck to you

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Ballman  
Two years ago

JJ's three point percentage in this game could of rolled some NBA teams on a bad day. Its how Adelaide beat Phoenix.

The problem with the cats over the last couple of years they seem to be at the end of these massive 3 point fiesta's, so is it mostly poor D or is there an element of teams coming in hyped against the Cats because of their historical status/history.

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Jacket  
Two years ago

Well said Ballman

The 36ers in the USA was a perfect illustration of this.

Against the Suns who had the best record in the NBA last season, the 36ers jacked up all sorts of 3s, some near the logo and they fell.

Then a few days later against last seasons WORST team who were missing there best player Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, those same 3s were not falling and they got thumped.

What was the difference? The luck of the 3 ball.

I am not saying that the 3 ball is necessarily all luck. Not by any stretch. I am just saying that there is much more variance with the 3 point shot compared to shots around the rim.

It just seems that teams are going to go out and jack up 3s all game long and see if there is luck on that day.

Some days they fall, some days they don't.

There is no team or players in the NBL like the Warriors with Klay and Curry who are super elite and have that consistency with the 3 ball where the variance is reduced.

Teams are now just living and dying by the 3 ball.

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dddd  
Two years ago

I for one would love to see a return to the slow-paced, defensive slugfests of the early-naughties, with poor shooting and an abundance of long fadeaway out of iso sets. It did wonders for getting eyeballs on the game, especially once all the goodwill of the Jordan years dissipated.

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