Barring Catastrophe, MU and Perth will duke it out for top spot. I think MU, but it will depend on the health of Barlow to start the season, and how they adapt down the stretch. Theoretically they remain vulnerable at the 4, but it remains to be seen how they cover it.
If Goulding can carry over his early for from the WC, MU are going to be almost unstoppable early on.
Sydney have a new coach (who crazily is still tied up with the Boomers) so that's a big question mark for them. They are one year older, and have bet the far on Casper. Don't get me wrong, that's a good bet, but there's going to be confusion when fans chant MVP, because Bogut will think its him.
Next you have a bunch of teams with so any unknowns, new players, new coaches, etc.
I'll take a punt and pick Hawks to make the 4, only because of Brooks.
I never Write Joey off, at least not until he's had a meltdown.
SEM have assembled a good squad, but relying on Gibson and Antman will bite them.
Brisbane either revolutionise the NBL, or suck balls. Hard to tell which. Having Lemanis on WC duty, with Sobey and Gliddon carrying his bags, won't help their pre-season. Seriously, could make the 4, or just plain suck.
Cairns. Well it rains a lot up there in summer, so at least being inside is good.