skip
Years ago
Wildcats have done us no favours tonight being knocked off by the Breakers in New Zealand by 10 points.
That door of hope is almost closed for the sixers.
EC
Years ago
I thought the 36ers could not not afford any more losses for themselves and no more wins for the Breakers. If they still have hope of making the playoffs now, then they have more lives than a cat. After watching the Bullets/Tigers game last night, I doubt we will be getting a win this Saturday. I was very surprised to see Ere suit up. Almost as though he only had to travel from the next suburb. He didn't even show any ill effects from the rushed travel.
Ballinger Fan
Years ago
CJ was also pretty impressive with his "damaged" ankle.
kad
Years ago
Given all the injuries the breaker have had, they did really well tonight. Great effort.
Assume Adelaide wins 4 out of remaining 4 games.
1. They will knock New Zealand out of finals if NZ wins no more than 1 out of their remaining 3 games. (This is possible as NZ have tough away games against Sydney and Perth)
2. They will knock Cairns out of finals if Cairns wins no more than 2 out of their remaining 4. Cairns must also lose their match against the 36ers by more than 6 points.
Adelaide still a chance to make finals despite NZ winning tonight. They just have to win every game!
Isaac
Years ago
If Adelaide win 3/4 games and the Breakers don't win again, don't the 36ers get through on the split via points aggregate?
Yes, if the Sixers end up on the same number of wins as NZ or Cairns, Sixers will get the split!
(Still awaiting Sixers vs. Cairns match though - in which Sixers need to win by more than 6)
XY
Years ago
Why would the Sixers need to win by more than six? That would put them 2-0 against Cairns. I think you mean not lose by more than five, in which case it is 1-1 and we get the split. But another such loss will have us miss the finals, so it is irrelevant.
Oh for losing a few cheap games earlier in the season!
XY
Years ago
NZ have the Dragons next which they should win to give them 15 wins.
Cairns still have the Dragons and Hawks left, both of which they should win to give them 15 wins.
So the Sixers really have to win all of their remaining 4 games and hope that NZ or Cairns drop all of their 50/50 games. Chances of that I would put at about 0.05%.
Isaac
Years ago
Need to get at least one of the games this weekend to be in the hunt.
I think the Razorbacks are now out of contention after losing last night since they'd have to go 3-0 from here, have Cairns go 0-4, and then would still lose the split with the Taipans.
NZ have snuck into 7th but have three very difficult games out of those remaining.
XY
Years ago
Isaac, from here I can't see how 14 wins could possibly be enough.
Isaac
Years ago
If the Breakers go 0-4 from here (they play Dragons, Tigers, Kings, Wildcats - just one home game), and Adelaide go 3-1, they will still tie things up at 14-16 and get through on aggregate.
The Taipans are 13-12, but have easier opponents.
If Adelaide can finish 4-0, they should have a very good chance. NZ would need to win twice (tough) and Cairns would need at least a couple themselves.
XY
Years ago
If NZ can't beat the 0-13 run cellar-dweller Dragons, then they just don't want to make the finals. Cairns on one leg with both hands behind their backs should also knock off the Dragons.
I agree with you that it could happen, but I don't think it would happen in any reality where the world rotates around the sun.
Sixers must work on the assumption that it needs to win all 4 games to have a slight hope of playing another game this season.
XY
Years ago
Well, the Heal sacking may just be the extra impetus required for the Dragons to break their losing streak against NZ. In fact, given that we don't play them again, lets hope the Dragons go on to win the rest of their games so that they take out Cairns too. Here's hoping anyway...
RMM
Years ago
Although Dragons may be a bit stronger after having their testicle wart removed!
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