I have an interest in the sport as a fan and an interest in the profitability of the club as they are my brother's employer. (They're also an ex-client, which is why I might come across as frustrated from time to time!) I also think I know what they should be doing from a marketing perspective and I won't shut up about it.
There is a lot I don't know about so I'm not of much use with regard to your specific questions. Some readers of this forum would know more, but may choose not to post. I wish they would so I didn't have to guess.
Anyway, I would guess the 36ERS to be worth under $5m, but that would be a stab in the dark, and a high stab at that. It's based on the one time only that I have heard someone put an estimate on the value of the license, and that will be my assumption until I hear otherwise from someone with better info!
I have heard rumours of the license being sold soon, so I would guess that it could happen. We have some successful families in SA (Gerard being one), but Lleyton has had a seat on the team bench in the past and if I had the money to buy a $0.5m car, I'd look to buy a sporting club next were I in his shoes.
The Lightning lose money each year -- around $150 000 (check auditor's report). I couldn't say if that was because they are being run poorly or if it was because it is just very difficult to make a profit out of a WNBL club (I suspect the latter). I would hope that they are packaged because I'd like to see the Lightning continue even if it requires a charitable gesture or whatever.
I'd guess (sorry, a lot of guesses!) that BASA could well sell whatever is in the best interest of the sport. People with a deeper involvement in the sport than I have long suggested that BASA and the 36ERS should be divided somehow, so I'm leaning on that too.
BASA is, as I understand it, a not-for-profit entity. If selling the 36ERS would help them improve their financial position and focus on the development of basketball, then I don't see why they wouldn't do it.
The issue of it being a wise move for a potential buyer would be impacted by the venue -- would BASA cover the loan by leasing it to a new owner? Would the new owner purchase it and lease it to BASA? No idea regarding the issues here (and I'd defer to someone with the knowledge here, but no one really says anything about it) but I think the former (though definitely complicating things for a buyer) would be in the interest of the sport.