Anonymous
Years ago

Full Strength Australia Vs Full Strength NZ 2014

Just for fun:

A Tall Black starting line up of:

Braswell
Penney
Albercrombie
Vukona
Adams

Vs

Mills
Newley
Ingles
Anderson
Bogut

Who wins in a 3 game series (played at Vector Arena)

Tough to pick but I'm saying NZ by a hair!

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Anonymous  
Years ago

u put up thoes 2 line ups and bet on NZ??? hahahha what about bench depth you clown!!!!

also penney wont be there hes like 34 as it is

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Mystro  
Years ago

Australia will always kill NZ on bench depth easily.

Australia 2-1

if Penney's too old to play Anon, Bogut must be to fragile and would surely be injured so write him off also.

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Alexkrad  
Years ago

Boomers easy

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Cell  
Years ago

While im not sure that odds would favour NZ in 2 years, I think potentially in 4 years (2016) the series could be close. Heres a few suggestions of NZ players and their age in 2016:

C- Adams (22), Pledger (29)
PF- Vukona (34), Loe (24), Fotu (22)
SF- Abercrombie (28), Jones (30), Edwards (26)
SG- Penney (35), C.Webster (28)
PG- Bartlett (30)

Also Tai Webster and Reuben Te Rangi could both pan out to be capable international players by the time they turn 21.

I believe that 5 or 6 of those players could be playing pro in europe/nba at that time.

The argument that Kirk Penney couldnt play at that age I think is invalid, how much of his game at the moment relies on his stunning athleticism?

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Isaac  
Years ago

Australia. Pledger will improve, but he and Vukona are playing against NBL guys right now. Bogut and Andersen are a notch above and there are other reasonable options backing them up.

Only spot NZ have the edge now is with Penney. By 2014, Newley, Ingles, etc will be in their prime and closing the gap at worst.

I'd take Mills and Dellavedova over Braswell (bit lazy, no born passion for NZ), Bartlett, Tait, etc. NZ's PG stocks are pretty tragic.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

That aus team would smash that nz team..

Reply #367202 | Report this post


paul  
Years ago

Isaac, Pledger and particualrly Vukona have shown what they can do on the international stage, the NBL comparison isnt really relevant.

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LC  
Years ago

2014 to 2018 could be Australia's window of opportunity IMO.

With a blend of talented players entering their prime, and with a bevvy of junior stars pushing up through the ranks.

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paul  
Years ago

I agree LC. I think 2014 and 2016 is potentially a really good window for NZ too, but they will still be underdogs against Australia.

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Isaac  
Years ago

paul, not discounting that, but week by week, two of those guys are playing in stronger competitions because they're superior players. Couple of those NZ guys lift for Tall Blacks no doubt, but that Australian roster is much stronger and that's even with ignoring benches.

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Mystro  
Years ago

NZ will always struggle to beat Australia, makes it so much sweeter when we do lol.
That NZ squad would however beat a lot of International teams and reinforces the fact that both teams deserve to play at International Tournaments for Oceania.
NZ has beaten some pretty decent opponents in the past 10-12 years and gone down narrowly to some even better.
I agree with Isaac re: NZ PG stocks, and at Braswell's age he isn't exactly the answer. On the bright side at least we finally have some size with Pledger, Adams and Loe. The PG spot is hole tho which is worrying.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Can NZ still qualify for 2012 through any other qualification tournament?

Would be good to have Aus and NZ in the Olympics both have good teams and can beat many international teams.

Agreed Australia would win, Penney is a international star, but the rest of the team are no better than NBL aussies (except maybe Abercrombie) let alone the likes of Ingles, Newley, Mills, etc who are playing overseas.

I know it would never happen but would a combined Oceania team contend for an Olympic medal? Just adding Penney to the Boomers would be a massive upgrade imo.

Imagine

Mills/Dellavedova
Penney/Newley/Barlow
Ingles/Abercrombie
Andersen/Nielsen
Bogut/Maric/Jawai (or Baynes or Ogilvy)

would be awesome, sure only adding 2 kiwis and having everyone fully fit, but just a healthy Bogut and adding Penney is a massive upgrade imo.

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paul  
Years ago

I know what you are saying Isaac, but having followed the international game closely the 'he plays in this league so he is better' argument is lazy and ignores the contributions players have actually made at that level. Vukona for example, performs at as good a level internationally as Andersen.

That level of analysis is particularly lazy when it comes to Aussies and Kiwis playing in Europe. Some get a foot in the door because they have a passport and can play as locals, an option which isnt open to others.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

I think the argument is if they all played say NBL, Andersen, Bogut, Nielsen, etc would all be significantly better than Pledger, Vukona, etc, meaning they are the better players.

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paul  
Years ago

No question Australia has more talent, and most the best players are playing as imports OS, but just saying someone is better because they are in Europe is poor analysis.

Penney and Mills are better than the majority of our OS players, so considering their performances in the NBL most of our OS guys would be around the level of the better players in the NBL, not above their level.

An exception could be someone like Maric whose bulk could be very hard to stop if used well.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Boomers 3-0.

Reply #367268 | Report this post


Anonymous  
Years ago

Yes and no re Europe, as some of the Aussies eg Newley are playing in one of the better European leagues as imports, and he was one of the best NBL players at a young age when he left the NBL.

So for me he is clearly better than say a Vukona, as if Vukona was as good he would get similar import gigs in Europe similar to Newley.

I can see your point for say Andersen, etc who have European passports, but again Andersen has played NBA, Maric is getting NBA workouts this year, so the fact that they are able to play in Europe doesnt guarantee they are better but Andersen hasnt been a benchy he has been one of the better players of his team, and there is little doubt he would be MVP callibre like Anstey was if he returned to the NBL imo.

So yes just because they play somewhere in Europe doesnt make them better, thats true for someone like say Rhys Carter, but for me all the Boomer level guys ie the ones who are playing as imports and/or making significant contributions in the stronger leagues are clearly better than a NBL/Breakers starter, which bar Penney is what the best Tall blacks are.

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paul  
Years ago

I dont think Andersen would be at the same level as Anstey because he doesnt have the defensive game. He would be amongst the best in the league but not necessarily dominant, as he is a player who relies heavily on team structure.

For mine, Baynes, Markovic, Nielsen, Kickert, Ingles and Barlow wouldnt be superstar NBL players now. Jawai and Maric could have a big impact because of their combination of skill and size.

Newley would depend on his shot, but with it struggling he has been a bench player in both Lithuania (ok European comp) and Spain (excellent comp). Remember, he got his foot in the European door when his offensive game was better than it has been the past couple of years.

Re Vukona, he has had a number of European import offers but has chosen to stay at the Breakers.

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Mystro  
Years ago

I imagine after his WC performances over the years that Vukona would have definitely fielded offers from Europe.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Yea true, i guess even Mills wasnt a stand out MVP in his NBL stint, but was in the mix.

I agree most of them wouldnt be guaranteed superstars, but all would be in the top of their positions, with guys like Ingles, Newley, Jawai, Maric, Andersen being the top MVP candidates (out of locals anyway).

I would have loved to see Ingles and Newley play their careers in Australia, with their extra length and Athletism compared to most Aussies in their position would have enabled them to pretty dominant imo. Despite neither being very bulky,

Ingles could have a 'LeBron' style NBL season with his all round game if he really pushed himself i reckon,

Newley would be more a NBL version of 'Kobe' or 'Wade' as a dominant/athletic scorer, would have been exciting, but cant blame them for going overseas. I think he would have been fine with his scoring/shooting and offense in the NBL environment.

And yea Maric and Jawai would be unstoppable with their size and strength.

At worst i reckon guys like Kickert, Markovic etc would be of the Johnson level, which is still very good at NBL level and better than most NZ guys.

I'd say only Abercrombie, maybe Vukona and Pledger out of the NZ guys in the NBL would be of that level, so Australia definatly has the depth.

Is Vukona really turning down 700k (Newleys rumoured salary, Boti mentioned it a while ago) to stay with the Breakers? I doubt it, very loyal by him and lucky for the Breakers if he is, i have no doubt he could go to Europe, and is getting offers, even as a cheaper import in a pretty strong league but i doubt he would be getting some of those (500k+) offers and staying in the NBL.

Dont get me wrong he is a fantastic player, i would love him as a 36er, but for me he is not really any better than Wortho, and it would be hard to say he is better than Andersen, etc given what they have achieved in their careers, and behind Abercrombe and Penney he is their next best player.

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paul  
Years ago

I doubt Vukona would have got close to the same offers Newley got. Remember Brad had a standout Olympics and then a great year in Turkey (one of the better Euro leagues) capped by a brilliant playoffs.

If his jumpshot got back to what it was at that point he could dominate the NBL.

I agree most of those guys would be amongst the best in their positions, although I dont think Kickert would be, and Markovic would be around the Gibson, Martin, Bruce level.

Back to Vukona, in international ball he is still well ahead of Abercrombie and clearly NZ's second best player. Tom and Steve Adams will pass him before too long though.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Vukona wouldn't be getting any big money offers otherwise he would've left a long time ago. If the offers are comparable to his NBL salary then sure why not stay.

Jawai would destroy the NBL, remember how dominant he was in 07-08 as a rookie (all-star game MVP too) and the league was of a higher standard back then too.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

If his jumpshot got back to what it was at that point he could dominate the NBL.


Yeah and if he had athleticism he'd be LeBron.

Vukona is a solid role player at NBL level, nothing more.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Agreed Paul,

Is Kickert more the Helliwell type? different style of player of course but a NBL 8th - 10th man level player who has made a solid career in Europe with a few Boomers opportunities. Given Brown and Goorj seem to rate him and continually have him in squads i assumed he is atleast as good as Schenscher/Johnson who havnt got as many opportunities with the Boomers, and not being a beast like Helliwell is.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

"Vukona wouldn't be getting any big money offers otherwise he would've left a long time ago"

That's assuming decisions are based purely on money. Having a young family can alter priorities, as it did with Wortho after the 2010 worlds when he turned down a good offer in serbia.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Yes, other factors, but are these guys turning down 500k +? Not so sure, they may be turning down 300kish to play NBL for 150-200k, but would be more surpised if it was a 500k + offer, not impossible but more unlikely imo.

One thing i do wonder if we played the NBL from April to say October, would guys like Newley play NBL? they could earn say 150k in the NBL in their 'European offseason', whilst still making good money in Europe, the seasons wouldnt really clash would they? Would they still get good offers if they missed the start of the Euro season to finnish the NBL season?

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paul  
Years ago

Anon 296 you seem quick to hate, but if you take time to read the "If his jumpshot got back to what it was at that point he could dominate the NBL" comment you would see it was about Brad Newley, not Vukona.

Re salaries: there is a huge range for imports in Europe from less than $100K to more than $1mill, even in better comps. On some of the bigger clubs an import can be one of the lowest paid.

Re April to October NBL season, that wouldnt work because those guys play from October to May-June in Europe and then have Boomers commitments.

The most likely way we will get a few guys back is for the European economy to continue to crumble.

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Isaac  
Years ago

paul, I wasn't talking just NBL-Europe, but NBL-NBA. Andersen got some NBA opportunities and has had a pretty solid Euro career whereas Pledger's only just about to get an NBL start. Obviously the gap reduces when they're all head-to-head and someone has to step up, but it's still pretty easy to pick one over the other as having a clear edge.

To anon's conversation, family would explain turning down $250k somewhere questionable in Europe for $150k in the NBL, but not $500k+ or $700k unless there were extraordinary circumstances (illness in the family, etc). Euro money is usually tax free too.

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paul  
Years ago

Im not arguing Pledger v Andersen, there is 7-8 years difference between them. But Vukona v Andersen at international level is quite comparable. It is an example of a guy who grows an extra leg for his country and embraces the physicality of FIBA ball with a guy who (until 2010 at least) shied away from the physicality.

The point is when comparing players for international competitions looking at how they perform internationally is a much better way than listing what club competition they play in.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

True Paul, but also wrong to totally discount the club accomplishments of Andersen, playing Euroleague and other top Euro comps as a starter for years and his short stint in the NBA.

Vukona may step up a bit internationally, and probably doesnt have Andersen's Euro passport, but even if he did i dont think he would get the Euroleague and NBA gigs Andersen has had.

Vukona is more physical than Andersen, but Andersen has better skills.

Andersen is a bit softer than Vukona, but also plays a different role, Andersen is often more the big shooter to spread the floor for a beast in the middle like Bogut or Maric, where is Vukona is the hustle guy who just outworks everyone for every possesion he can.

So overall i personally take Andersen, but Vukona is fantastic and i am a fan, would love him in a 36ers singlet.

I guess alot of this comes down to which guy a coach/fan prefers, the role needed by the team and who fills it best, etc.

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Mystro  
Years ago

Abercrombie and Vukona were both very good for NZ at the WC's against some strong opposition so to say Vukona is a solid role player at NBL level only is pretty rubbish.

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paul  
Years ago

I completely agree with you there anon, if we are comparing club careers Andersen wins hands down, even though Vukona's contribution to his clubs is fantastic and often underestimated.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Agreed Paul, Vukona is fantastic, definatly a huge factor in the Breakers success. Every team would love him.

Another interesting one is Pero Cameron's form in the World Champs v NBL, doesnt seem to add up, but wasnt he all World? I know Larry Brown spoke very highly of him, but was never a dominant NBL player, bit like Vukona, but Vukona is better in the NBL imo.

Cameron i think offerd other intangibles such as IQ, leadership which is why he still did ok in the NBL, but was hardly a star.

But yea you do definatly have a point internatioanlly these guys certainly bridge the gap against guys like Andersen.

But would be hard to say they are better than a Andersen (also hard to say they are worse) at the same time.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

With Bogut, Boomers 3-0

Without Bogut, Boomers 3-0

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Isaac  
Years ago

Bit funny that the main NZ guy to step up for international competition is actually Fijian by birth! Also, that the Breakers team from last time Penney was with them is probably superior to the Tall Blacks at full strength?

Actually, I wonder about a hypothetical game between the most recent Breakers (sans Penney) and the NZ team with him? Would anyone not favour the Breakers given that they'd have both imports and Bruton?

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Mystro  
Years ago

who would stop Cedric Jackson? Tall Blacks don't have anyone who could keep up let alone come close to stopping lol

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paul  
Years ago

Nenad Vucinic would have a few tricks up his sleeve! But Id certainly favour the Breakers of the past two years over the Tall Blacks.

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Anonymous  
Years ago

"I do worry about sport at an international level ... pitting one country against another does raise national pride to the level of nationalism, and the trouble with nationalism is that if people take it too seriously it turns into national socialism and then it's no longer about including various countries in a race, it’s about excluding various races from a country." Shaun Micallef, 'Mad as Hell', ABC1

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Love the Micallef quote, his new show is good!

Abercrombie and Vukona were both very good for NZ at the WC's against some strong opposition so to say Vukona is a solid role player at NBL level only is pretty rubbish.


I never said 'only'. He's played well for the Tall Blacks in the past yes but with plenty of opportunity to do so given half their roster are usually NBL scrubs (and some on the NZ team aren't even NBL standard).

His ceiling (club wise!) is as a solid role player in the NBL, he's no star and obviously doesn't attract big money offers from Europe otherwise he wouldn't be averaging around 8 and 6 in the NBL.



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Anonymous  
Years ago

He'd be a great role player in europe just doesnt have a passport.

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benno  
Years ago

i'd love to see adams prove himself

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Anonymous  
Years ago

Vukona has played in 3 of the last 4 championships. The other year hsi team made the semi finl. Its no coincidence. Your kidding yourself if you think you can measure him by stats.

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Mystro  
Years ago

^ what Anon said

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Mystro  
Years ago

Tai Webster at 17 has a pretty decent future ahead of him judging on his first Tall Blacks foray. Just got keep him out of the joint rotation lol.


Tai Webster/Everard Bartlett
Kirk Penney/Cory Webster
Tom Abercrombie/Leon Henry
Mika Vukona/Isaac Fotu/BJ Anthony
Steven Adams/Alex Pledger/Rob Loe

Reply #368273 | Report this post


paul  
Years ago

You can prob chuck Te Rangi ahead of Henry for a future team.

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